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The Benefits of Buying a Home Now: Time in the Market vs. Timing the Market

Buyers Herbert Riggs July 2, 2024

Are you torn between buying a home now or waiting for the perfect moment? It's a common dilemma, but perhaps there's a perspective you haven't considered yet. While the right timing for your home purchase depends on various personal factors, focusing on time in the market rather than timing the market could be a game-changer.

The Pitfalls of Timing the Market

Attempting to time the market isn't a foolproof strategy due to the ever-changing nature of economic factors. For instance, despite projections indicating a decrease in mortgage rates, unforeseen shifts have delayed this anticipated trend. As a result, prospective homebuyers who held out for lower rates found themselves left out of the market, with affordability failing to improve as expected.

The Evidence How Homeowners Benefit from Rising Home Prices

Delaying your home purchase means missing out on potential equity gains. According to the Home Price Expectations Survey by Fannie Mae, industry experts forecast a continuous rise in home prices through at least 2028. This upward trend in home prices translates to substantial wealth gains for homeowners over the coming years.

To give these numbers context, let’s take a look at a breakdown of what you stand to gain once you buy. The graph below uses a typical home’s value to show how a home could appreciate over the next few years using those HPES projections: 

To illustrate the potential gains, let's consider the example of purchasing a $400,000 home at the beginning of the year. Based on the forecasts, you could accrue over $83,000 in household wealth over the next five years. This data underscores the significance of time in the market.

Important Considerations for Prospective Buyers While mortgage rates and monthly payments are undoubtedly important considerations, it's equally crucial to factor in the trajectory of home prices. Anticipated moderate price increases may not seem favorable in the short term, but they represent a significant advantage once you become a homeowner.

Rather than fixating on timing the market, prioritizing time in the market is key. Perfectly timing the market isn't feasible, and the opportunity cost of delaying your purchase should be carefully weighed. If you're ready and able to buy now, it's essential to evaluate whether waiting is truly worthwhile.

Bottom Line

If you're grappling with the decision to buy now or wait, remember that it's time in the market, not timing the market, that holds the key to substantial equity gains. If you're eager to embark on this journey and position yourself for significant wealth accumulation, let's connect and make it happen.


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